3年1000倍,算出來我都不敢相信。

廢話不多說,先上策略:

序號 綠鞋保護倍數(shù)區(qū)間 股票跌幅 買入后滿意漲幅 新股數(shù)量 勝率 盈虧
1 [2,…) (…,-15%) 最大跌幅 4 100.00% 78.10%
2 [2,…) [-15%,-10%) 最大跌幅 2 50.00% -5.74%
3 [2,…) [-10%,-5%) 最大跌幅 6 100.00% 43.44%
4 [1,2) (…,-15%) 最大跌幅 7 100.00% 148.70%
5 [1,2) [-15%,-10%) 最大跌幅 10 90.00% 110.19%
6 [1,2) [-10%,-5%) 最大跌幅 21 85.71% 124.02%
7 (0.5,1) (…,-15%) 10% 6 100.00% 60.00%
8 (0.5,1) [-15%,-10%) 8% 3 100.00% 24.00%
9 (0.5,1) [-10%,-5%) 3% 3 66.67% -29.11%
10 (0,0.5] (…,-15%) 9% 26 92.31% 176.58%
11 (0,0.5] [-15%,-10%) 7% 12 83.33% 32.67%
12 (0,0.5] [-10%,-5%) 2% 12 100.00% 24.00%

交易策略:

根據(jù)綠鞋保護倍數(shù)區(qū)間,以及股票跌幅區(qū)間,確定暗盤最低價買入后滿意的漲幅,如果后續(xù)暗盤或者首日上漲達到,就按照這個漲幅賣出,如果暗盤和首日都無法達到,就首日收盤賣出。

這個表格我稍微解釋下。

以序號1為例,當(dāng)新股達到條件綠鞋保護區(qū)間在[2,…),股票跌幅區(qū)間在(…,-15%)時,我們便可以買入,當(dāng)價格在暗盤或者首日回到發(fā)行價時(最大跌幅漲回來時),便可以賣出,如果無法達到回到發(fā)行價,便首日收盤賣出。歷史統(tǒng)計的新股數(shù)量共4個,勝率100%,總盈虧78%。

以序號11為例,當(dāng)新股達到條件綠鞋保護區(qū)間在(0,0.5],股票跌幅區(qū)間在[-15%,-10%)時,我們可以買入,以暗盤最低價為基準(zhǔn),當(dāng)價格在暗盤或者首日上漲7%就應(yīng)該賣出,如果無法達到7%,便首日收盤賣出。歷史統(tǒng)計的新股數(shù)量共12個,勝率83.33%,總盈虧32.67%。

也許有人會問了,按照這個盈虧加總,全部盈虧也才7.86倍,哪里有1000倍呢?

需要注意的是,每個新股的盈虧,是獨立的。

如果我們使用同樣一筆資金參與,假設(shè)是4萬(由于個別新股價格較高,便以這個為基礎(chǔ)),最終的收益就是4萬的7.86倍,也就是31.44萬。

這種投資方式每次下注的籌碼一致,是風(fēng)險較低的。

另外一種方式,是以一筆資金作為初始基金,不論盈虧每次all in,結(jié)果如何呢?

序號1到12全部參與的話,累積漲幅1294.66倍。

穩(wěn)妥起見,只參與序號1到6的話,累積漲幅101.50倍

詳情見下面附錄。

當(dāng)然,以4萬作為初始資金,考慮到市場容量,想要達到上千倍,可能有些困難,但上百甚至幾百倍卻肯定可以。

1· 附錄1:全部參與

代碼 名稱 綠鞋保護倍數(shù) 暗盤最大跌幅 暗盤最大漲幅 首日最大漲幅 20日最大漲幅 首日收盤漲幅 盈虧幅度 累積凈值
02448 恒宇集團 0.5 -20.83% 25.26% 16.84% 32.63% 4.21% 9.00% 1.09
02292 晉安實業(yè) 0.5 -14.52% 16.98% 31.13% 50.94% 23.58% 7.00% 1.17
01183 澳能建設(shè) 0.3 -16.80% 5.77% 38.46% 90.38% 31.73% 9.00% 1.27
02779 中國新華教育 0.5 -8.28% 2.01% 16.05% 16.05% 9.03% 2.00% 1.3
08151 寶申控股 0.3 -6.25% 4.44% 17.78% 24.44% 13.33% 2.00% 1.32
01742 HPC HOLDINGS 0.38 -13.33% 10.26% 11.54% 14.10% 3.85% 7.00% 1.42
01806 匯付天下 1.5 -9.33% 8.09% 2.65% 8.24% -2.65% -2.65% 1.38
02003 維信金科 1.72 -9.80% 12.80% 16.41% 25.55% 13.36% 9.80% 1.51
01916 江西銀行 6.79 -8.76% 3.77% 11.15% 13.38% 9.95% 8.76% 1.65
06100 同道獵聘 1.5 -11.67% 4.80% 15.95% 23.50% 11.49% 11.67% 1.84
01592 基石控股 0.5 -12.50% 4.29% 2.86% 91.43% -20.00% -20.00% 1.47
01763 中國同輻 0.5 -9.72% 2.26% 8.72% 16.15% 3.08% 2.00% 1.5
06860 指尖悅動 1.98 -12.56% 14.36% 26.52% 38.67% 20.44% 12.56% 1.69
02048 易居企業(yè)控股 2.05 -5.42% 3.53% 12.06% 12.06% 4.26% 5.42% 1.78
01765 希望教育 0.5 -9.90% 6.36% 12.72% 28.32% 8.09% 2.00% 1.81
06160 百濟神州 1.67 -10.19% 10.31% 11.55% 11.55% 10.31% 10.19% 2.0
01783 金侖控股有限公司 0.3 -11.82% 2.06% 7.22% 7.22% 1.03% 7.00% 2.14
01615 奧邦建筑 0.3 -13.43% 18.97% 20.69% 20.69% 8.62% 7.00% 2.29
01969 中國春來 1.52 -8.17% 4.19% 7.33% 7.33% -8.90% -8.90% 2.09
02552 華領(lǐng)醫(yī)藥-B 3.01 -7.61% 7.06% 8.63% 17.52% 8.24% 7.61% 2.24
02680 創(chuàng)升控股 0.38 -23.33% 7.25% -7.97% -7.97% -28.99% -28.99% 1.59
01809 浦林成山 4.72 -10.02% 9.25% 9.43% 9.43% -17.36% -17.36% 1.32
01939 東京中央拍賣 1.5 -16.67% 20.80% 36.00% 36.00% 24.80% 16.67% 1.54
03990 美的置業(yè) 5.91 -21.76% 25.56% 24.81% 27.97% 19.40% 21.76% 1.87
01894 恒益控股 1.5 -20.00% 19.12% 32.35% 117.65% 29.41% 20.00% 2.24
03616 恒達集團控股 1.5 -12.10% 1.83% 4.59% 11.01% 3.67% 3.67% 2.33
01835 瑞威資管 0.75 -13.40% 19.40% 27.02% 31.64% 20.32% 8.00% 2.51
06890 康利國際控股 0.5 -7.84% 9.57% 14.89% 34.04% 13.83% 2.00% 2.56
03668 兗煤澳大利亞 7.69 -8.01% 6.25% 8.33% 8.33% 8.10% 8.01% 2.77
03992 創(chuàng)毅控股 0.38 -23.00% 7.79% 18.18% 40.26% 9.09% 9.00% 3.02
02798 久泰邦達能源 1.5 -7.35% 12.70% 22.22% 7.94% 7.35% 3.24
01837 五谷磨房 1.5 -9.88% 6.85% 10.96% 10.96% -2.74% 9.88% 3.56
01860 匯量科技 1.72 -20.00% 19.69% 25.62% 34.37% 24.69% 20.00% 4.27
02359 藥明康德 1.5 -7.35% 1.43% 9.05% 9.05% 7.94% 7.35% 4.59
02885 彼岸控股 0.75 -14.40% 18.69% 12.15% 12.15% -13.08% 8.00% 4.95
02013 微盟集團 1.9 -7.14% 21.15% 31.54% 31.54% 12.69% 7.14% 5.31
01891 興合控股 0.3 -8.00% 2.17% -4.35% -4.35% -19.57% 2.00% 5.41
01865 管道工程 0.5 -7.27% 19.61% 31.37% 45.10% 29.41% 2.00% 5.52
06819 中智全球 2.56 -8.04% 5.69% 8.94% 31.71% 5.89% 8.04% 5.97
03321 偉鴻集團控股 0.75 -10.71% 12.80% 16.80% 36.00% 11.20% 8.00% 6.44
01906 博尼控股 0.38 -12.07% 17.65% 17.65% 41.18% 13.73% 7.00% 6.89
01753 兌吧 1.72 -9.17% 14.86% 17.25% 24.77% 10.28% 9.17% 7.53
01903 JBB BUILDERS 0.3 -24.58% 1.12% 41.57% 49.44% 38.20% 9.00% 8.2
01832 海天地悅旅 1.5 -7.34% 3.66% 11.28% 11.28% 5.49% 7.34% 8.8
02230 羚邦集團 0.5 -10.00% 2.47% 0.00% 0.00% -23.46% 2.00% 8.98
01817 慕尚集團控股 3.14 -11.62% 10.05% 16.24% 22.94% 15.98% 11.62% 10.02
02060 浦江國際 3.28 -5.60% 6.72% 7.91% 31.62% 7.11% 5.60% 10.59
02181 邁博藥業(yè)-B 1.5 -6.00% 4.26% 6.38% 7.09% -14.18% 6.00% 11.22
06811 太興集團 0.5 -8.33% 5.82% 0.73% 9.45% -4.00% 2.00% 11.45
01849 秀商時代控股 0.75 -20.00% 5.77% 11.54% 11.54% -5.77% 10.00% 12.59
01701 途屹控股 0.75 -9.62% 1.06% -8.51% -8.51% -35.11% -35.11% 8.17
01901 飛揚集團 0.5 -11.43% 13.98% 8.60% 51.61% 5.38% 7.00% 8.74
01977 安樂工程 0.75 -16.67% 15.00% 71.00% 71.00% 63.00% 10.00% 9.62
06805 金茂源環(huán)保 1.5 -9.02% 14.05% 19.01% 19.01% 7.44% 9.02% 10.48
02696 復(fù)宏漢霖-B 1.5 -5.04% 4.03% 5.10% 8.07% 4.99% 5.04% 11.01
03938 LFG投資控股 0.5 -10.71% 14.00% 8.67% 8.67% -28.67% 7.00% 11.78
01692 登輝控股 0.3 -20.00% 1.92% 16.35% 16.35% -17.31% 9.00% 12.84
01847 云南建投混凝土 0.5 -21.13% 10.94% 13.58% 13.58% 0.38% 9.00% 14.0
02163 遠大住工 1.5 -16.74% 14.76% 20.60% 21.09% 19.98% 16.74% 16.34
01875 東曜藥業(yè)-B 1.5 -9.62% 4.73% 8.61% 8.61% 5.74% 5.74% 17.28
01921 達力普控股 1.5 -5.66% 13.33% 10.00% 10.00% 2.00% 5.66% 18.26
01987 BENG SOON MACH 0.5 -13.00% 14.94% 56.32% 81.61% 14.94% 7.00% 19.54
03603 信基沙溪 1.5 -14.00% 62.79% 59.30% 306.98% 51.16% 14.00% 22.27
01427 中國天保集團 1.89 -5.20% 11.39% 8.44% 18.99% 8.44% 5.20% 23.43
03681 中國抗體-B 1.5 -7.89% 8.57% 4.29% 4.29% -14.29% 7.89% 25.28
01640 瑞誠中國傳媒 0.5 -8.80% 3.51% 22.81% 171.93% 8.77% 2.00% 25.78
01346 利華控股集團 0.5 -11.76% 4.00% 16.00% -17.33% -17.33% 21.32
01747 HOME CONTROL 0.57 -19.61% 24.39% 28.05% 28.05% 12.20% 10.00% 23.45
02103 新力控股集團 2.11 -15.58% 19.35% 20.24% 22.02% 17.56% 15.58% 27.1
03348 中國鵬飛集團 0.5 -22.15% 38.21% 30.08% 30.08% -3.25% 9.00% 29.54
06919 人瑞人才 1.81 -5.64% 2.99% 7.57% 56.18% 5.78% 5.64% 31.2
01691 JS環(huán)球生活 1.5 -5.96% 6.54% 15.13% 21.68% 12.27% 5.96% 33.06
09998 光榮控股 0.5 -9.23% 6.78% 15.25% 38.98% 1.69% 2.00% 33.73
09918 麗年國際 0.5 -15.60% 27.96% 25.59% 35.07% 18.01% 9.00% 36.76
02528 尚晉國際控股 0.5 -18.50% 3.68% 2.45% 2.45% -10.43% -10.43% 32.93
01802 文業(yè)集團 0.75 -30.19% 40.54% 68.92% 68.92% 47.30% 10.00% 36.22
01416 CTR HOLDINGS 0.5 -25.00% 22.22% 14.81% 40.74% -5.56% 9.00% 39.48
03718 北控城市資源 1.5 -10.14% 11.29% 12.90% 25.81% 11.29% 10.14% 43.48
01412 雋思集團 1.6 -11.02% 24.76% 10.48% 10.48% 4.76% 11.02% 48.27
01925 曠世控股 0.57 -21.88% 17.00% 14.00% 51.00% -4.00% 10.00% 53.1
09919 艾德韋宣集團 0.3 -15.35% 9.36% 11.11% 11.11% -8.19% 9.00% 57.88
09968 匯景控股 4.66 -17.10% 20.62% 23.75% 32.50% 21.88% 17.10% 67.78
01745 驢跡科技 0.38 -19.81% 28.82% 24.12% 24.12% 11.76% 9.00% 73.88
09933 GHW INTL 0.5 -21.57% 20.00% 18.75% 18.75% -12.50% 9.00% 80.53
01343 偉源控股 1.5 -9.38% 104.60% 318.39% 81.61% 9.38% 88.08
01433 常達控股 0.38 -27.60% 14.92% 1.66% 1.66% -17.13% 9.00% 96.01
09936 稀美資源 0.5 -19.73% 11.73% 20.67% 36.31% 13.41% 9.00% 104.65
01941 燁星集團 0.3 -10.26% 25.00% 25.00% 34.29% 22.86% 7.00% 111.97
01859 煜盛文化 1.87 -12.83% 14.72% 14.72% 14.72% 6.60% 12.83% 126.34
01961 九尊數(shù)字互娛 0.5 -23.70% 31.07% 48.54% 48.54% 35.92% 9.00% 137.71
06918 奇士達 0.57 -27.54% 13.00% 13.00% 13.00% -10.00% 10.00% 151.48
03390 滿貫集團 1.5 -32.89% 45.00% 33.00% 33.00% -4.00% 32.89% 201.31
01942 MOG HOLDINGS 0.5 -26.00% 10.81% 12.16% 12.16% -32.43% 9.00% 219.42
01147 伊登軟件 0.3 -17.60% 6.80% 23.79% 23.79% -20.87% 9.00% 239.17
09923 移卡 0.3 -15.75% 10.84% 34.09% 38.37% 25.96% 9.00% 260.7
01645 海納智能 0.3 -20.29% 6.36% 25.45% 25.45% 9.09% 9.00% 284.16
09958 力天影業(yè) 1.5 -10.16% 11.30% 9.57% 9.57% -30.87% 10.16% 313.03
01650 HYGIEIA GROUP 0.75 -6.00% 14.89% 10.64% 10.64% -42.98% 3.00% 322.42
01957 MBV INTL 0.5 -52.50% 23.68% 31.58% 31.58% -9.21% 9.00% 351.44
09979 綠城管理控股 1.5 -16.00% 28.57% 63.33% 109.52% 54.76% 16.00% 407.67
06933 新娛科控股 1.5 -6.75% 26.32% 18.42% 242.11% 11.84% 6.75% 435.19
06968 港龍中國地產(chǎn) 5.4 -23.66% 28.33% 31.33% 35.00% 30.67% 23.66% 538.15
09986 大山教育 1.5 -26.40% 36.96% 31.52% 40.22% 21.74% 26.40% 680.22
01449 立德教育 0.5 -9.05% 10.47% 4.19% 4.19% -3.14% 2.00% 693.83
09913 智勤控股 0.5 -32.69% 54.29% 40.00% 108.57% 21.43% 9.00% 756.27
09987 百勝中國-S 0.91 -5.29% 3.54% 5.07% 6.77% 0.00% 3.00% 778.96
02130 嘉泓物流 0.5 -12.78% 18.10% 23.71% 100.00% 16.81% 7.00% 833.49
01597 納泉能源科技 0.38 -22.50% 30.32% 40.65% 64.52% 33.55% 9.00% 908.5
02107 第一服務(wù)控股 0.38 -16.67% 9.00% 3.00% 3.00% -12.00% 9.00% 990.27
02169 滄港鐵路 1.5 -5.26% 32.22% 25.56% 108.89% 11.11% 5.26% 1042.35
02096 先聲藥業(yè) 0.3 -19.71% 9.09% 4.55% 6.18% -0.18% 9.00% 1136.17
09993 金輝控股 1.5 -13.95% 10.81% 18.38% 18.38% 17.84% 13.95% 1294.66

2 附錄2:只參與綠鞋保護倍數(shù)大于1

代碼 名稱 綠鞋保護倍數(shù) 暗盤最大跌幅 暗盤最大漲幅 首日最大漲幅 20日最大漲幅 首日收盤漲幅 盈虧幅度 累積凈值
01806 匯付天下 1.5 -9.33% 8.09% 2.65% 8.24% -2.65% -2.65% 0.97
02003 維信金科 1.72 -9.80% 12.80% 16.41% 25.55% 13.36% 9.80% 1.07
01916 江西銀行 6.79 -8.76% 3.77% 11.15% 13.38% 9.95% 8.76% 1.16
06100 同道獵聘 1.5 -11.67% 4.80% 15.95% 23.50% 11.49% 11.67% 1.3
06860 指尖悅動 1.98 -12.56% 14.36% 26.52% 38.67% 20.44% 12.56% 1.46
02048 易居企業(yè)控股 2.05 -5.42% 3.53% 12.06% 12.06% 4.26% 5.42% 1.54
06160 百濟神州 1.67 -10.19% 10.31% 11.55% 11.55% 10.31% 10.19% 1.7
01969 中國春來 1.52 -8.17% 4.19% 7.33% 7.33% -8.90% -8.90% 1.55
02552 華領(lǐng)醫(yī)藥-B 3.01 -7.61% 7.06% 8.63% 17.52% 8.24% 7.61% 1.66
01809 浦林成山 4.72 -10.02% 9.25% 9.43% 9.43% -17.36% -17.36% 1.38
01939 東京中央拍賣 1.5 -16.67% 20.80% 36.00% 36.00% 24.80% 16.67% 1.6
03990 美的置業(yè) 5.91 -21.76% 25.56% 24.81% 27.97% 19.40% 21.76% 1.95
01894 恒益控股 1.5 -20.00% 19.12% 32.35% 117.65% 29.41% 20.00% 2.34
03616 恒達集團控股 1.5 -12.10% 1.83% 4.59% 11.01% 3.67% 3.67% 2.43
03668 兗煤澳大利亞 7.69 -8.01% 6.25% 8.33% 8.33% 8.10% 8.01% 2.62
02798 久泰邦達能源 1.5 -7.35% 12.70% 22.22% 7.94% 7.35% 2.82
01837 五谷磨房 1.5 -9.88% 6.85% 10.96% 10.96% -2.74% 9.88% 3.1
01860 匯量科技 1.72 -20.00% 19.69% 25.62% 34.37% 24.69% 20.00% 3.72
02359 藥明康德 1.5 -7.35% 1.43% 9.05% 9.05% 7.94% 7.35% 3.99
02013 微盟集團 1.9 -7.14% 21.15% 31.54% 31.54% 12.69% 7.14% 4.27
06819 中智全球 2.56 -8.04% 5.69% 8.94% 31.71% 5.89% 8.04% 4.62
01753 兌吧 1.72 -9.17% 14.86% 17.25% 24.77% 10.28% 9.17% 5.04
01832 海天地悅旅 1.5 -7.34% 3.66% 11.28% 11.28% 5.49% 7.34% 5.41
01817 慕尚集團控股 3.14 -11.62% 10.05% 16.24% 22.94% 15.98% 11.62% 6.04
02060 浦江國際 3.28 -5.60% 6.72% 7.91% 31.62% 7.11% 5.60% 6.38
02181 邁博藥業(yè)-B 1.5 -6.00% 4.26% 6.38% 7.09% -14.18% 6.00% 6.76
06805 金茂源環(huán)保 1.5 -9.02% 14.05% 19.01% 19.01% 7.44% 9.02% 7.37
02696 復(fù)宏漢霖-B 1.5 -5.04% 4.03% 5.10% 8.07% 4.99% 5.04% 7.74
02163 遠大住工 1.5 -16.74% 14.76% 20.60% 21.09% 19.98% 16.74% 9.04
01875 東曜藥業(yè)-B 1.5 -9.62% 4.73% 8.61% 8.61% 5.74% 5.74% 9.56
01921 達力普控股 1.5 -5.66% 13.33% 10.00% 10.00% 2.00% 5.66% 10.1
03603 信基沙溪 1.5 -14.00% 62.79% 59.30% 306.98% 51.16% 14.00% 11.51
01427 中國天保集團 1.89 -5.20% 11.39% 8.44% 18.99% 8.44% 5.20% 12.11
03681 中國抗體-B 1.5 -7.89% 8.57% 4.29% 4.29% -14.29% 7.89% 13.06
02103 新力控股集團 2.11 -15.58% 19.35% 20.24% 22.02% 17.56% 15.58% 15.1
06919 人瑞人才 1.81 -5.64% 2.99% 7.57% 56.18% 5.78% 5.64% 15.95
01691 JS環(huán)球生活 1.5 -5.96% 6.54% 15.13% 21.68% 12.27% 5.96% 16.9
03718 北控城市資源 1.5 -10.14% 11.29% 12.90% 25.81% 11.29% 10.14% 18.62
01412 雋思集團 1.6 -11.02% 24.76% 10.48% 10.48% 4.76% 11.02% 20.67
09968 匯景控股 4.66 -17.10% 20.62% 23.75% 32.50% 21.88% 17.10% 24.2
01343 偉源控股 1.5 -9.38% 104.60% 318.39% 81.61% 9.38% 26.47
01859 煜盛文化 1.87 -12.83% 14.72% 14.72% 14.72% 6.60% 12.83% 29.87
03390 滿貫集團 1.5 -32.89% 45.00% 33.00% 33.00% -4.00% 32.89% 39.69
09958 力天影業(yè) 1.5 -10.16% 11.30% 9.57% 9.57% -30.87% 10.16% 43.72
09979 綠城管理控股 1.5 -16.00% 28.57% 63.33% 109.52% 54.76% 16.00% 50.72
06933 新娛科控股 1.5 -6.75% 26.32% 18.42% 242.11% 11.84% 6.75% 54.14
06968 港龍中國地產(chǎn) 5.4 -23.66% 28.33% 31.33% 35.00% 30.67% 23.66% 66.95
09986 大山教育 1.5 -26.40% 36.96% 31.52% 40.22% 21.74% 26.40% 84.63
02169 滄港鐵路 1.5 -5.26% 32.22% 25.56% 108.89% 11.11% 5.26% 89.08
09993 金輝控股 1.5 -13.95% 10.81% 18.38% 18.38% 17.84% 13.95% 101.5
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